Tax and poverty analyses for a leap forward with global tobacco control
This project, implemented by the Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública of Mexico, aims to contribute a series of background studies to the work of a new The Lancet Commission on Global Tobacco Control. This commission aims to mobilize a global network of researchers, policymakers, key governments, and global agencies to generate powerful ideas, integrate expertise, and coordinate action to systematically reduce the enormous social and economic costs associated with tobacco.
The project studies will examine the distributional impact of tobacco price hikes (up to 50%) across gender and socio-economic groups in four countries (Colombia, India, Mexico, and the Philippines), through extended cost-effectiveness analysis models. The models will project the impact of increased taxes on health benefits (years of life gained), tax revenues, and net financial consequences for households. To provide new evidence on the effectiveness of non-price measures, the project will also produce a systematic review of available evidence on the impact of plain packaging laws on tobacco consumption and cessation.
To discuss findings as well as national and global communication strategies, a meeting will be held with technical authors, partner researchers, and The Lancet Commissioners toward the end of the project. The project’s findings will provide recommendations for improved effectiveness of policy solutions in the studied countries, with the view of not only optimizing existing measures (such as tax collection and administration), but also meeting global and national targets for health, non-communicable disease prevention, and poverty reduction.