Palestinian-Israeli Scenario Planning - Phase II

As currently foreseen, neither the two-state nor the one-state solution offers much hope of resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The Scenario Planning Program of the Strategic Assessments Initiative (SAI) aims to launch a deeper examination of what a sustainable solution requires by shifting the debate from the idiosyncratic terms of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict (one state / two states) to concepts familiar to students of ethnic conflict worldwide (partition / integration). A program team comprising Palestinian and Israeli Jewish intellectuals, along with internationals with extensive policy experience, will engage in a far-reaching investigation with two overall objectives. First, the team will explore the state of the two-state solution, asking if it can in its current and possible configurations successfully resolve the conflict. Second, the team will explore how difficult issues such as sovereignty and self-determination have been handled in other contested instances, and consider what a comparative study might teach about Israel and Palestine. Through a series of working papers, focus groups and seminars, the program participants will refine their ideas in collaboration with major stakeholders. Ultimately, the team will prepare a comprehensive report that covers two-state possibilities, regional options and cooperative power-sharing, as well as suggestions for moving forward. The idea is to reverse the current pessimism by offering policymakers new tools for imagining alternative futures.

Project ID


Project status


Start Date

Tuesday, March 28, 2006

End Date

Sunday, December 31, 2006


12 months

IDRC Officer

Scholey, Pamela

Total funding

CA$ 258,200


Israel, Middle East, West Bank and Gaza, Central Asia, Far East Asia, South Asia


Governance and Justice

Project Leader

Robert Blecher


Strategic Assessments Initiative, Inc.

Institution Country

United States