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Bill Carman

Identificación: 30784
Creado: 2003-05-29 15:29
Modificado: 2004-11-10 23:33
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Chapter 10. Technical Change and the Textiles Industry in Tanzania
Prev Documento(s) 11 de 29 Siguiente
Mlawa

Introduction

A number of studies in this book have underscored the role of technological change in sustainable industrial developments. This study examines the relation of technological change to productivity in the manufacturing industry in Tanzania. The cotton textiles sector (Mlawa 1983) provides the basis for this case study.

Textile manufacturing

The manufacture of cotton textiles involves three main processes: spinning, weaving, and processing. The analysis in this study is limited to the first two.

The technology used in the mills is simple. Raw cotton, often compressed in bales, is mixed and blended, goes through various processes, (spinning, blowing, carding, drawing, roving, etc.), and emerges as yarn. The yarn is transmitted to the loom shed (weaving shed), where further processing produces grey cloth (unprocessed cloth). The grey cloth then goes to the processing shed for desizing, bleaching, dyeing, printing, and so on. The processed cloth is finally cut into suitable sizes and packed for sale. A crew of line operatives and helpers, supported by maintenance personnel and supervisory staff, forms the core of the labour in each of these steps.

The analysis in this paper is based on five spinning sheds and four weaving sheds. All the spinning sheds produce a uniform product (coarse yarns, mostly of count 20s), and all the weaving sheds produce a uniform product (standard plain weaves). These plants were established in the mid-1960s, and all are publicly owned.

Performance measures

Proxy measures of performance (indicators of performance) were computed to reflect levels of x efficiency (operating performance) of the sheds. This computation was based on a set of data the Production Statistics departments in the mills recorded and used to measure production performance in the sheds. On the basis of these data, the following set of physical performance measures were computed. (The tight measures reflect the efficiency when the mills were actually running, thus minimizing the effects of exogenous variables, such as power failures and material shortages, on operating efficiency.)

Labour productivity

Labour productivity was measured as physical output (kilograms, for spinning; metres, for weaving) per person–hour. However, two performance indicators were used: (1) labour productivity based on actual person–hour inputs and (2) labour productivity based on potential person–hour inputs.

Capacity utilization

Capacity utilization is indicated by the ratio of machine–hours (i.e., spindle–hours or loom–hours) to the total stock of installed equipment (i.e., spindles or looms). In the case of spinning, the stock of equipment in the mills did not change during the period of the study. Change in the number of spindle–hours was, therefore, used to measure capacity utilization in the spinning sheds.

The situation was different in weaving: capital stock in Kiltex-Dar and Kiltex-Arusha remained constant during the 1973–79 period, but additional looms were installed in Urafiki sheds 1 and 2. The technical characteristics of these additional looms were identical to those of the original equipment, so the number of new looms was simply added to the number of the old looms to indicate the size of the capital stock. Change in the ratio of loom–hours to looms installed was, therefore, used to measure change in capacity utilization in the weaving sheds.

Machine productivity

Machine productivity reflects the efficiency of machine operation. For spinning, it was measured as spindle productivity: the volume of output (kilograms) per spindle–hour. For weaving, it was measured as loom productivity: output (metres) per loom–hour.

Changes in output and labour productivity

Spinning

Table 1 summarizes the output change in the individual spinning sheds and in the sheds as a group over the 1973–79 period and shows two main features of the output growth: (1) within individual sheds, growth was mixed (ranging from 2.44% annually in Urafiki shed 2 to 4.96% annually in Kiltex-Dar); and (2) the overall the rate of growth in the group was modest (0.01% annually).

Table 1. Change in output in the spinning sheds (1973–79).
Output (1000 kg)Annual change
(%)
19731979
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Mwatex
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
3 218.0
1 651.0
2 891.4
1 728.1
897.2
10 385.7
3 693.6
1 933.2
2 778.7
1 128.3
860.0
10 393.8
2.11
2.44
–0.56
–4.96
–0.59
0.21
Source: The Production Statistics departments of the mills studied.

Table 2 shows (1) the level of person–hour inputs (actual and potential) in 1973 and 1979; (2) the levels of labour productivity for both years; and (3) the average annual rate of change in person–hour inputs and in labour productivity. The table shows that actual person–hour inputs for the group increased by 6.4% annually. The potential person–hour inputs increased at a faster rate during the period. The change in labour productivity (based on actual person–hour inputs) was marked — productivity fell in all the sheds by about 4–9% annually. The rate of productivity decline was higher on the basis of potential person–hour inputs.

Table 2. Change in actual and potential person–hour inputs and labour productivity in the spinning sheds (1973–79).
Person–hours (thousands)Annual change
(%)
Productivity (kg/person–hour)Annual change
(%)
1973197919731979
Actual person–hour inputs and labour productivity
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Mwatex
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex Arusha
Group
1952.1
930.5
1488.9
1006.9
548.9
5927.4
2817.3
1509.7
2528.4
909.7
824.4
8589.5
6.3
8.4
9.2
–1.7
7.0
6.4
1.65
1.77
1.94
1.72
1.63
1.74
1.31
1.28
1.10
1.24
1.04
1.19
–3.7
–5.3
–9.0
–5.3
–7.2
–6.0
Potential person–hour inputs and labour productivity
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Mwatex
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
2054.3
989.8
1628.3
1097.2
600.1
6369.7
3299.3
1728.1
2857.0
1051.9
914.4
9850.7
8.2
9.7
9.8
–0.7
7.3
7.5
1.70
1.67
1.78
1.07
1.50
1.63
1.12
1.12
0.97
1.07
0.94
1.05
–5.5
–6.4
–9.6
–6.3
–7.5
–7.1
Source: The Production Statistics departments of the mills studied.
Note: PH, person–hours.

Weaving

Table 3 summarizes the output change in the individual weaving sheds and in the sheds as a group over the 1973–79 period. It shows that the group rate of growth of grey-cloth output was greater (i.e., 2.1% annually) than that of yarn (0.01% annually).

Table 3. Change in grey-cloth output in the weaving sheds (1973–79).
Output (1000 m)Annual change (%)
19731979
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
13 767.1
7 748.3
10 533.2
4 394.2
36 442.8
16 354.4
11 456.3
6 132.4
7 264.0
41 207.1
2.9
6.7
–8.6
8.7
2.1
Source: The Production Statistics departments of the mills.

Labour-productivity measures were based on both actual and potential person–hour inputs. Table 4 shows (1) the levels of these inputs in 1973 and 1979; (2) the levels of labour productivity in both years; and (3) the average annual rate of change in person–hour inputs and in labour productivity.

Actual person–hour inputs for the group as a whole increased at an average rate of about 9% annually. Among the individual sheds, the rates of increase varied widely. The rates of increase in person–hour inputs were roughly associated with rates of growth in grey-cloth output, but in all cases the growth in person–hour inputs was much greater. Consequently, the level of labour productivity for the individual sheds fell (albeit at different rates) during the 7-year period.

Table 4. Change in actual and potential person–hour inputs and labour productivity in the weaving sheds (1973–79).
Person–hours (thousands)Annual change (%)Productivity (m/person–hour)Annual change (%)
1973197919731979
Actual person–hour inputs and labour productivity
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
6 468.1
3 842.7
4 271.8
1 844.3
16 426.9
8 972.3
7 440.2
5 216.5
6 059.3
27 688.3
5.6
11.6
3.4
21.9
9.1
2.13
2.02
2.47
2.38
2.20
1.13
1.54
1.18
1.20
1.49
–2.6
–4.4
–11.6
–10.8
–6.4
Potential person–hour inputs and labour productivity
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
6 885.4
4 070.3
4 271.8
1 961.3
17 474.1
10 315.0
8 962.2
6 082.6
6 723.4
32 083.2
7.0
14.1
4.9
22.8
10.7
2.00
1.90
2.31
2.24
2.09
1.59
1.28
1.01
1.08
1.28
–3.8
–6.4
–12.9
–11.5
–7.0
Source: The Production Statistics departments of the mills studied.
Note: PH, person–hours.

Changes in capacity utilization and machine efficiency

Spinning

Table 5 shows (1) the number of spindle–hours (our measure of capacity utilization) in the mills in 1973 and 1979: (2) the average annual rate of change in spindle–hours; and (3) the average annual rate of change in output for the same period, for comparison. The table shows that in all but one of the mills, spindle–hours increased during the study period; for the group as a whole, they increased by about 3% annually.

Table 5. Change in spindle–hours worked in the spinning sheds (1973–79).
Spindle–hours worked (n)Annual change
in spindle–hours (%)
Annual change
in output (%)
19731979
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-1
Mwatex
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
265.47
125.44
235.85
140.23
76.42
843.41
374.90
186.52
250.37
115.65
79.56
1007.00
5.9
6.8
1.0
–3.2
0.7
3.0
2.11
2.44
–0.56
–4.96
–0.59
0.01
Source: The Production Statistics departments of the mills studied.

As might be expected, differences in the rate of change in capacity utilization among individual mills were associated with differences in the rate of change in output. For the group as a whole, spindle–hours increased at a much faster rate (3.0% annually) than output (0.01% annually). Clearly, then, output per spindle–hour was not rising; in fact, it was falling (Table 6).

Table 6. Change in spindle productivity in the spinning sheds (1973–79)
Productivity (kg spindle–hour 1)Annual change (%)
19731979
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Mwatex
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
0.0121
0.0121
0.0123
0.0123
0.0117
0.0123
0.0098
0.0104
0.0111
0.0097
0.0108
0.0103
–3.5
–2.5
–1.6
–3.9
–1.4
–2.9
Source: The Production Statistics departments of the mills studied.

Evidently, although management increased the person–hour inputs in order to expand capacity utilization, this move did not raise the productivity of the running machinery. Indeed, machine productivity was not even held constant as capacity utilization increased. Because output during the period of study was more or less constant for the group as a whole, increasing capacity utilization (expanding by about 3.0% annually) was required simply to compensate for decreasing machine efficiency (falling by about 2.9% annually).

Weaving

Table 7 shows (1) the number of hours the looms in the weaving sheds were running in 1973 and 1979; (2) the change in the ratio of loom–hours to looms installed (our measure of capacity utilization); and (3) the average annual rate of change in grey-cloth output during that period.

Table 7. Change in the ratio of loom–hours operated to number of looms installed in the loom sheds (1973–79).
Loom–hoursChange in ratio
of loom–hours to looms (%)
Annual change
in grey-cloth production (%)
19731979
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
14 922
11 279
12 065
8 241
46 507
18 675
13 976
13 986
26 257
17 203
3.8
3.6
2.5
21.3
6.1
2.9
6.7
–8.6
8.7
2.1
Source: The Production Statistics departments of the mills studied.

In all the weaving sheds, individually and taken as a group, capacity utilization increased. Differences in the rate of change among individual mills were loosely associated with differences in the rate of change in output. Although capacity utilization was rising, output per loom–hour was not; in fact, it was rapidly decreasing (Table 8).

Table 8. Change in loom–hour productivity in the weaving sheds (1973–79).
Productivity (m/loom–hour)Annual change (%)
19731979
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
2.05
2.08
2.09
2.04
2.07
1.38
1.42
1.05
1.06
1.28
–6.4
–6.2
–10.8
–10.3
–7.7
Source: The Production Statistics departments of the mills studied.

Evidently, then, although some of the increase in capacity utilization resulted in an increase in output, a much larger proportion was simply required to offset rapidly falling loom–hour productivity.

Benchmark efficiency levels

These data provide a very clear overall picture: according to almost every indicator of production efficiency, performance was declining in most of the mill sheds during the period examined. In contrast to the mass of evidence about learning curves in industrial production and development in industrializing economies, these data, plotted against time (or cumulative total output), would show an array of "unlearning" curves. Evidently, then, this infant industry was rapidly unlearning during this 7 year period.

This path of development in one of the country's leading manufacturing sectors should perhaps be set in context. This analysis does not cover the initial start-up or running-in phase of production in the mills. By 1973, all the mills studied had been operating for at least 5 years, so the decline in productivity does not reflect a decline from design-level efficiencies that had been attained in the start-up phase.

It was possible to establish benchmark efficiency levels for the types of equipment installed in the mills. With the assistance of the staff of the Shirley Institute, based in Manchester in the United Kingdom, I estimated benchmark efficiency levels for two performance indicators (labour productivity and machine– hour productivity) as being 65% of the specified design-level efficiencies for the type of equipment used in Tanzania. The downward adjustment of 35% from the specified design-level efficiencies allows for start-up discrepancies and provides a reasonable norm for Tanzania.

Spinning

Because, in a broad sense, the technical characteristics of the spinning equipment were similar across the plants, I established identical benchmark levels for each piece of equipment:
  • labour productivity = 4.55 kg/person–hour; and

  • machine productivity = 0.035 kg/spindle–hour.

Table 9 shows the productivity levels actually achieved in the Tanzanian spinning mills in 1973 and 1979 and compares them with the norms. In 1973, actual efficiency levels were slightly more than a third of the benchmark levels. By 1979, the process of unlearning had reduced relative efficiency in the spinning sheds to only a little more than a quarter of the estimated benchmark levels.

Table 9. Actual productivity levels achieved in the spinning sheds compared with the benchmark productivity levels (1973–79).
Actual productivity levelsRatio of actual to benchmark (%)
Labour (kg/person–hour)Spindles (kg/spindle–hour)Labour–hourSpindle–hour
1973
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Mwatex
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
1.65
1.77
1.94
1.72
1.63
1.75
0.0121
0.0121
0.0123
0.0123
0.0117
0.0123
36
36
43
38
36
38
35
35
35
35
35
35
1979
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Mwatex
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
Group
1.31
1.28
1.10
1.24
1.04
1.21
0.0098
0.0104
0.0111
0.0097
0.0108
0.0103
29
28
24
27
23
27
28
30
32
28
31
29

Weaving

The technical characteristics of the weaving equipment varied among the mills. The benchmark efficiency levels I established, therefore, also varied. Table 10 shows the productivity levels actually achieved in the Tanzanian weaving sheds in 1973 and 1979 and compares these with the norms.

Table 10. Actual productivity levels achieved in the weaving sheds compared with the benchmark productivity levels (1973–79).
Actual productivity levelsBenchmark productivity levelRatio of actual to benchmark (%)
Labour (m/person–hour)Looms (m/loom–hour)Labour (m/person–hour)Looms (m/loom–hour)Labour–hourLoom–hour
1973
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
2.13
2.02
2.47
2.38
2.05
2.08
2.09
2.04
6.5
6.5
5.2
7.8
5.85
5.85
4.55
6.50
33
31
48
31
35
36
46
31
1979
Urafiki-1
Urafiki-2
Kiltex-Dar
Kiltex-Arusha
1.13
1.54
1.18
1.20
1.38
1.42
1.05
1.06
6.5
6.5
5.2
7.8
5.85
5.85
4.55
6.50
28
24
23
15
24
25
23
16

In 1973, the actual efficiency levels in the weaving sheds were about a third of the benchmark levels (with the exception of Kiltex-Dar, where it was nearly half). By 1979, the process of unlearning had reduced relative efficiency to around 25% of the estimated benchmark levels, even in the case of Kiltex-Dar, and to only about 15% in the case of Kiltex-Arusha.

In effect, then, after some 10–15 years of cumulative production experience, the mills were producing as if they were still in the start-up or running-in phase of development. Production efficiencies were still far below design-level efficiencies. The cumulative production experience had not automatically generated the efficiency improvements needed to bring performance up to even the benchmark levels. In fact, performance was moving away from, not toward, those levels.

Evidently, increasing production experience and the passage of time were associated not with improving production efficiency, but with decreasing production efficiency.

Conclusions

This paper examined the growth experience of Tanzania's textile industry during the period 1973–79 and looked for evidence of productivity improvement resulting from technological change.

The main finding was that from 1973 to 1979, productivity (x efficiency) in this industry, far from improving, actually declined. Labour productivity and machine productivity, two of the performance measures used to indicate efficiency levels and trends, showed a persistent decline. Capacity utilization, on the other hand, increased in almost every mill.

This suggests a general deterioration in efficiency in use of the imported technology. Clearly, then, this industry shows no evidence of technological learning in the sense of endogenous execution and management of incremental technological changes or productivity improvement. Instead, the industry appears to have rapidly unlearned.

The above conclusions suggest that very limited assimilation, absorption, and mastery of imported technology took place in this sector of the importing economy during this period. It also suggests that there wasn't much effort in Tanzania to build up the technological and managerial skills, expertise, and related capabilities needed to improve productivity and efficiency in the industry.

Recommendations for further research and analysis

There is little systematic research on, or analysis of, technological change and industrial development in Tanzania. This observation implies two things:
  1. Our knowledge about how technological change bears on the process of industrial development of Tanzania is very limited.

  2. There are few empirical data on Tanzanian realities to inform future policies, plans, strategies, and management of technological change and industrial development.

However, it is possible to recommend further research to improve the analytic and empirical bases of our understanding. Such an understanding will benefit future policy and planning.

Systematic and in-depth studies

This study, like many others on technological change and industrial development in developing countries, is a general and preliminary one. There is an urgent need to design and carry out systematic and in-depth studies focusing on specific sectors, industries, or firms. The main objective should be to uncover the evolution of technological change in these sectors, industries, and firms. Such studies are likely to be particularly useful in a developing country like Tanzania.

Studies on the determinants of technological change

Most studies on technological change and industrial development in developing countries focus on the value characteristics (e.g., quality) of products, processes, and procedures. It would be useful to think of more specific and comprehensive productivity measures that would capture both the physical and the value characteristics of products, processes, and procedures.

Comparative studies

The vast majority of studies on technological change and productivity in developing countries (such as this study) are case studies of single sectors, or even firms, drawn from single countries. Such studies are extremely useful and informative, especially in describing technological change in these sectors and firms. However, such studies often are unhelpful in explaining causality. Nor are they helpful in prediction. Carefully designed comparative studies of firms from different sectors, countries, and historical periods would help our understanding of technological change and performance growth.

Studies linking technological change and technology transfer

The rate and direction of technological change and productivity performance in a given plant or sector depend on, among other things, the characteristics of the production techniques used. The production techniques used in many plants in Tanzania and similar developing countries are not locally supplied but imported through international technology transfer. A clear understanding of technological change and productivity improvement in a particular sector, industry, or firm presupposes some knowledge of how the technology in the plants was acquired in the first place.

Studies on technological change and productivity improvement should address linkages between technology transfer and technological change. Realistically, in technologically underdeveloped economies, technology transfer and technological change form a continuum, rather than a series of discrete, unrelated processes. It is important, therefore, that studies of technological change in such countries take into account this rather obvious point.

Reference

  • Mlawa, H. 1983. The acquisition of technology, technological capability and technical change: A study of the textile industry in Tanzania. Science Policy Research Unit – Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex, Sussex, UK. DPhil thesis.







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